At the Emergency & Disaster Preparedness Committee meeting on April 13, 2021, the Southern Marin Fire District (SMFD) Chair Directors received an update on the 2021 Fire Season Outlook report which forecasted the 2021 fire season.
Due to wildfires, California was hit particularly hard resulting in loss of life, structure loss, and acreage burned in 2020. The result is a record number of Spare the Air days (46) issued by the Bay Area Air Quality Management District. Continuing trends include longer fire seasons (80 additional days per year), with Southern California dealing with a continuous season. Climate change is considered the key driver of the trend towards protracted and more destructive fire seasons in California. Warmer and dryer springs, limited snowpack, and increased fuel availability will add to the intensity of the 2021 Fire Season
Drought is the predominant factor influencing the 2021 fire season. When comparing the drought picture from March 2020 to March 2021, it is easy to see that our drought is worsening without any relief seen in the mid- range forecasts. Drought is related to fire risk because it increases fuel dryness (in both live and dead fuels), which correlates closely to an increased probability of ignition and increased fire spread rate. Drought is also closely related to increasing the fire season's length as fuels are available for extended periods.
Both SMFD and MVFD are actively working to educate our communities regarding the risks and their responsibilities. How do we prepare a community for the wildland fire season? We accomplish mitigation through the 4 E’s (Education, Engineering, Enforcement, and Emergency Response).